Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) is sacked by Los Angeles Chargers.(AP Photo/Gail … [+]
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Head Coaches John And Jim Harbaugh Lead Most Anticipated MNF Matchup
The only NFL Week 12 matchup of winning teams is a Monday Night Football feature when the Baltimore Ravens (7-4) tackle the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) at SoFi Stadium. Leading online sportsbooks are expecting major watch and wager action as John and Jim Harbaugh coach against each other for the two top Wild Card teams in the AFC as the Ravens and Chargers complete Week 12 action ahead of Thanksgiving.
The NFL standings show nine AFC teams with losing records, but the Ravens and Chargers are both headed towards double-digit wins with the winner of this contest staying in their division race with each team currently in second place.
Monday Night Football Odds
Pro football odds from BetOnline and affiliate SportsBetting.ag refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. All times Eastern and betting favorites (-) listed. Bet tyes and terms with listed point spread on favorite.
- Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) at Los Angeles Chargers, Over/Under 50.5 points
Kickoff is at 8:15pm ET on ABC and ESPN, and streamed online at ESPN+ and NFL plus.
Update: Game day betting data from FanDuel sportsbook reports that more than 70% of the spread bets and 88% of handle (money) is on the Ravens -2.5, which ticked up to the key number -3 hours ahead of kickoff. The Ravens are also the more popular moneyline bet to win the game at -162 odds with more than 80% of those bets on Baltimore.
Other leading online sportsbooks DraftKings and BetMGM report similar betting data on the Ravens-Chargers point spread and moneyline. Ravens RB Derrick Henry is the most popular player and bet to score a TD, and also the first touchdown. Bettors following the Chargers QB Justin Herbert prop bet below have made him another popular pick to pass for more yards.
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While sports betting is fueling more interest in the games for fans in 39 states, football fans in California are not able to bet at U.S. sportsbooks.
However, other options are available for those fans of their favorite pro football teams teams or any NFL games. Leading offshore betting sites like BetOnline in Panama and affiliate site SportsBetting.ag continue to take bets from sports fans in the most populous state of California along with Texas and Florida, which has teams playing on Thanksgiving Day with the Dallas Cowboys (4-7) hosting the New York Giants (2-9) and Miami Dolphins (5-6) traveling to Lambeau Field to tackle the Green Bay Packers (8-3).
Ravens-Chargers Matchups And Props
Bob Stoll of Dr. Bob Sports provides additional matchups and advance stats for the Ravens-Chargers matchup with information you can bet on. The updated injury report and media updates show a number of defenders out for both teams.
- The Chargers are now 7-3 with the league’s fourth-best point differential but the Los Angeles defense is the most overrated in the NFL based on the schedule according to our compensation algorithm. The Chargers have only seen 3 offenses ranked above average in yards per playl and one of them doesn’t really count because it was the Saints with Spencer Rattler. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has played 4 of the 8 offenses averaging less than 5 yards per play.
- Furthermore, the Chargers defense is dealing with injuries to LB Denzel Perryman and edge rusher Khalil Mack, who led Los Angeles with 28 pressures before sitting out last week.
- Lamar Jackson leads the NFL averaging 0.28 EPA/play and I expect him to put up points in ideal weather with an ideal playing surface on Monday night.
- There’s been an uptick in Justin Herbert’s scrambling since week 8, signifying that Herbert was no longer nursing the high ankle sprain from week 2. Herbert is averaging 37 rushing yards per game over his last four and he is averaging 7.6 yards per pass play compared to 6.3 yppp in the first 7 weeks.
- The Los Angeles tight ends have a 26% target share (7th-highest) and a favorable matchup as Baltimore LB Roquan Smith left the last game after just one snap into the fourth quarter and appears to be out with a hamstring injury.
- Our model favors the Ravens by 3.5 points, with a predicted total of 54.0 points. A strong opinion over 50.5 points or less.
Player Props and Picks
Compare props and adjusted yardage numbers at leading online sportsbooks.
- BAL QB Lamar Jackson passing yards: Over/Under 235.5, rushing 43.5
- LAC QB Justin Herbert passing yards: O/U 258.5, rushing 20.5
- BAL RB Derrick Henry rushing yards: O/U 84.5
- LAC RB JK Dobbins rushing yards: O/U 47.5, receiving 14.5
- LAC RB Gus Edwards rushing yards: O/U 25.5
- BAL WR Zay Flowers receiving yards: O/U 58.5
- BAL WR Rashod Bateman receiving yards: O/U 39.5
- BAL TE Mark Andrews receiving yards: O/U 31.5
- BAL TE Isaiah Likely receiving yards: O/U 26.5
- LAC WR Ladd McConkey receiving yards: O/U 64.5
- LAC WR Quentin Johnston receiving yards: O/U 50.5
- LAC WR Joshua Palmer receiving yards: O/U 35.5
- LAC TE Will Dissly receiving yards: O/U 39.5
The player prop picks posted on these NFL betting preview pages at Forbes have been scoring and cashing in Week 4, Week 5, Week 6, Week 7, Week 8, Week 9 and Week 10.
The Ravens lead the NFL averaging 430 yards per game and 7.0 yards per play on offense (Chargers 326/5.5), and QB Lamar Jackson is currently the second favorite in MVP odds behind Bills QB Josh Allen. Jackson has a top-3 QBR and a 25/3 TD-to-INT ratio passing for 2,876 yards and rushing for 584 yards and two more touchdowns. Herbert has a 13/1 TD-to-INT ratio with 2,186 passing yards.
If you like Lamar to break loose, note he’s had a run of at least 16 yards in nine of the 11 games he has played this season and his O/U prop for longest rush is 14.5.
Greg Roman is now the Chargers’ play caller, and he’s very familiar with the Ravens’ personnel and defensive schemes having served as the Ravens offensive coordinator previously. The Chargers also feature running backs J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards, both former Ravens.
Prop Bets: Chargers QB Justin Herbertover 20.5 rushing yards and over 258.5 passing yards. He’s been healthy since Week 8 following an early Sept. ankle injury, and the star QB has rushed for 65, 32 and 49 yards in three home games since Week 8. Also, the Ravens defense ranks No. 28 in opponent dropback EPA while allowing a league worst 284 passing yards per game. Herbert has passed for at least 279 yards in four of his last five games as the team and OC Greg Roman has balanced the attack more with their healthier, gifted passer.
More sports betting news, stats, player props and information you can bet on as the NFL draws more watch and wager action with player props driving additional engagement, entertainment and interest.
You can bet on it.
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Source: https://www.forbes.com/
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